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Published at December 3

LLMForecaster: Improving Seasonal Event Forecasts with Unstructured Textual Data

cs.LG

cs.CL

Released Date: December 3, 2024

Authors: Hanyu Zhang¹, Chuck Arvin², Dmitry Efimov², Michael W. Mahoney², Dominique Perrault-Joncas², Shankar Ramasubramanian², Andrew Gordon Wilson³, Malcolm Wolff²

Aff.: ¹Georgia Institute of Technology; ²Amazon; ³Amazon & NYU

Arxiv: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2412.02525v1

Model	Halloween	Easter	Father’s Day	Mother’s Day	Valentine’s Day
r16	$\textbf{105}^{***}$	$51^{***}$	$\textbf{93}^{***}$	$68^{***}$	$\textbf{58}^{***}$
r64	$103^{***}$	$\textbf{60}^{***}$	$88^{***}$	$\textbf{70}^{***}$	$33$
r128	$77^{***}$	$32^{**}$	$39^{***}$	$10^{**}$	$18$
r256	$70^{***}$	$34^{*}$	$48^{***}$	$52^{**}$	$17^{*}$
emb	$8$	$-5$	$11^{**}$	$-14$	$-16$